Guides

Melbourne Cup Betting Strategy: How Sharp AU Punters Approach Spring Carnival

The Melbourne Cup is the only day of the year when half of Australia bets. The other 364 days are when sharp punters earn from the half that does not.

Tom Rafferty12 May

Greyhound Racing Betting in Australia: Where the Value Actually Lives

Greyhound markets are smaller, faster, and softer than thoroughbreds. The same form-and-pace edges work, with less rec-money distortion to fight.

James Whittaker12 May

Big Bash League Betting in Australia: How to Trade BBL Markets Like a Sharp Punter

BBL markets are softer than international cricket and louder than AFL. The combination is perfect for sharp T20 modelling.

Daniel Pham12 May

Australian Open Betting: Set Markets, Live Trading, and Where the Value Hides at the AO

The AO is the only Slam where heat retirement is a real betting variable. Most punters bet it like the French. Sharp punters do not.

Daniel Pham12 May

UFC & MMA Betting in Australia: Method of Victory, Round Markets & AU Bookmaker Coverage

MMA is the only major sport where the underdog wins ~30% of the time. The market knows it but still gets style matchups wrong.

James Whittaker12 May

Golf Majors Betting from Australia: Outrights, Top 10, Head-to-Heads & Round Leaders

95% of golf bettors lose because the variance is genuinely brutal. The 5% who win bet head-to-heads and top 10s, not outright winners.

Daniel Pham12 May

Tennis Betting Guide: Grand Slams, ATP and WTA From Australia

Tennis is a year-round sport with one of the cleanest two-outcome markets in betting — and the books price the marquee names tight and the early rounds loose. Here is how to bet the whole tour, not just January.

James Whittaker9 May

Super Netball Betting: A Guide to Australia's Underpriced Court

Super Netball is one of the thinnest betting markets the Australian books offer — which is exactly why it can be one of the most rewarding for a punter who actually watches it.

Sarah Nguyen21 Apr

Live Betting and In-Play Markets at Australian Bookmakers: What is Allowed and Where the Value Is

Australian in-play betting laws are unusual. Online live sports betting is prohibited at AU corporates. Betfair Exchange in-play is legal. Phone betting in-play is legal. Here is the actual landscape and where the value is.

James Whittaker1 Apr

NBL Betting Guide: How to Bet Australian Basketball Properly

The NBL is one of the most bettable local competitions precisely because it is under-watched by the books. Here is how to bet Australian basketball, and why the props markets are softer than the NBA equivalent.

Sarah Nguyen26 Feb

Bonus Bet Conversion: Turning AU Bookmaker Bonus Bets Into Withdrawable Cash

Most AU bookmaker bonus bets get used poorly. Used correctly, they convert to roughly 70% of face value in real cash. Here is how the conversion maths actually works and the specific strategies that maximise it.

James Whittaker10 Feb

How to Calculate Expected Value (EV) in Sports Betting: Step-by-Step

Expected value is the single most important concept in sports betting. Here's exactly how to calculate it, with worked examples from real AU bookmaker prices.

Daniel Pham8 Feb

Guide13 min

Matched Betting Australia: The Complete Guide for 2026

Matched betting turns AU bookmaker welcome offers into guaranteed cash by covering both sides of a bet. Not the same as arbitrage. Here is how the maths works, which bookmakers to use, and what a realistic first six months looks like.

James Whittaker25 Jan

How to Analyse Sports Statistics for Betting: A Practical Framework

Most punters use stats wrong — they look at averages, ignore sample size, and confuse descriptive with predictive. Here is a practical framework for analysing sports data that actually surfaces betting edges.

Daniel Pham24 Jan

Kelly Criterion Calculator: How Much to Bet on a +EV Wager

Use the calculator to size any +EV bet correctly. The Kelly Criterion tells you the mathematically optimal stake size — the formula, the full-Kelly trap, and why every serious bettor uses fractional Kelly.

Daniel Pham23 Jan

A-League Betting Markets Explained: A Guide for AU Punters

A-League is the most overlooked betting market in Australia. The combination of moderate liquidity and undisciplined bookmaker pricing means there's value to be found if you know where to look.

James Whittaker8 Jan

Motorsport Betting: F1, Supercars and MotoGP From Australia

A motorsport field is small, the favourite is often very short, and the value lives almost everywhere except the race winner. Here is how to bet F1, Supercars and MotoGP without burning money on the obvious.

Daniel Pham8 Jan

Best Arbitrage Calculator Australia: How Surebet Calculators Actually Work

An arbitrage calculator does one thing: tells you exactly how much to bet on each side of a surebet so the profit is the same regardless of which side wins. Here is the maths, the workflow, and what to look for in an AU arbitrage calculator.

Daniel Pham26 Dec

Middle Betting Explained: How AU Punters Can Win Both Sides of a Bet

Middles are bets placed across two bookmakers where if the result lands in a specific window, both bets win. The maths is unusual. The opportunity is real.

Daniel Pham22 Dec

How to Find Positive EV Bets at Australian Bookmakers

Finding +EV bets at Australian bookmakers is more systematic than most punters realise. Compare prices across books, calculate the consensus, identify the outliers. Here is how.

Daniel Pham25 Nov

International Cricket Betting: Tests, ODIs and T20 World Cups

International cricket is three different betting games wearing the same uniform. The way you price a five-day Test has almost nothing in common with a T20 run-chase. Here is how all three behave.

James Whittaker18 Nov

NRL Head-to-Head Betting: A Complete Guide for Australian Punters

NRL head-to-head is the most popular and most liquid NRL betting market. It's also where bookmakers shade prices most aggressively. Here's how it works and where the value actually lives.

James Whittaker16 Nov

Rugby Union Betting: Wallabies, Super Rugby and the Big Tournaments

Rugby union is the 15-man code most Australian books treat as a second-tier market — which is exactly why the handicap and try-scorer lines reward someone who actually watches it.

Daniel Pham30 Oct

Guide12 min

Promotional Arbitrage (Bonus Bagging): How to Milk AU Bookmaker Promos for Guaranteed Profit

Promo arbing extracts value from AU bookmaker promotions regardless of market pricing. Money-back specials, odds boosts, bet-and-get offers — here is how to identify promo value, calculate the guaranteed profit, and cycle through 12+ AU books systematically.

David Koval21 Oct

Boxing Betting Guide: Method, Rounds and the Card Maths

Picking the winner of a big fight is the boring part. The money in boxing lives in the method and round markets — and in understanding why the exchange so often disagrees with the bookies.

Tom Rafferty29 Sept

Quick Guide7 min

The One Bet Tracker Column Everyone Forgets

A five-minute spreadsheet change that turned my bet tracker from descriptive to diagnostic. The column most advantage bettors miss, and why it matters more than the ones they track.

Daniel Pham25 Sept

De-Vigging Odds: How to Find a Bookmaker's True Price

Every AU bookmaker price includes a margin. Strip it out and you get the fair odds — the bookmaker's actual probability estimate. Here's how to do it properly.

Daniel Pham19 Sept

Glossary14 min

Australian Sports Betting Glossary: 80+ Terms Every AU Punter Should Know

Every term Australian punters encounter, defined clearly. From the basics like vig and EV to the advanced concepts like CLV and de-vigging, organised alphabetically for easy reference.

Daniel Pham15 Sept

World Football Betting: The Complete Australian Guide

Soccer is the most heavily traded sport on earth, yet most Australian punters only ever touch the three-way market — the one with the worst margin. Here is the rest of the menu, and why it pays better.

Sarah Nguyen22 Aug